Bundled Estimators¶
The default estimator registry exposes classical temporal, spectral, geometric, wavelet, and data-driven methods. Discover the installed names with:
lrdbench list-estimators
Estimator entries in manifests use the registry name:
estimators:
- name: Variance
family: temporal
target_estimand: hurst_scaling_proxy
params:
min_scale: 2
max_scale: 256
scale_ratio: 1.5
n_bootstrap: 200
Temporal Hurst-Proxy Estimators¶
These estimators target hurst_scaling_proxy.
| Name | Method | Main parameters |
|---|---|---|
RS |
Rescaled-range log-log slope over subseries lengths. | min_scale, max_scale, scale_ratio, use_anis_lloyd_correction, bootstrap parameters |
DFA |
Detrended fluctuation analysis on the cumulative profile. | min_scale, max_scale, detrend_order, bootstrap parameters |
DMA |
Detrended moving-average fluctuation scaling. | min_scale, max_scale, bootstrap parameters |
AbsoluteMoment |
Log-log slope of aggregation level versus absolute first moment of block-aggregated series. | min_scale, max_scale, scale_ratio, bootstrap parameters |
Variance |
Log-log slope of sample variance versus block size for block-aggregated series. | min_scale, max_scale, scale_ratio, bootstrap parameters |
VarianceResidual |
Half the log-log slope of average sample variance of detrended cumulative-profile residuals versus block size. Closely related to DFA; uses a different scale grid and residual divisor. | min_scale, max_scale, scale_ratio, detrend_order, bootstrap parameters |
The aggregation estimators map their fitted slopes onto an unclipped Hurst-style proxy:
AbsoluteMoment:H = slope + 1Variance:H = slope / 2 + 1VarianceResidual:H = slope / 2
All three are approximate finite-sample methods. Interpret them with the same caution as other scale-window estimators: the block-size range, scale spacing, detrending order, contamination, and record length can materially change results.
Other Classical Estimators¶
Spectral estimators target long_memory_parameter:
GPHPeriodogramWhittleMLEModifiedLocalWhittle
The legacy ModifiedLocalWhittle name implements ordinary Gaussian local Whittle;
WhittleMLE fits a band-limited ARFIMA spectral shape rather than exact fGn likelihood.
See the parameter glossary for bandwidths and optimizer bounds.
Geometric estimators target hurst_scaling_proxy:
HiguchiGHE
Wavelet estimators target hurst_scaling_proxy:
WaveletOLSWaveletAbryVeitchWaveletBardetWaveletJensenWaveletWhittle
Data-Driven Estimators¶
The experimental supervised baselines target hurst_scaling_proxy:
MLRandomForestMLSVRMLCNNMLLSTM
These require a manifest-declared ml_training block unless a model artefact path is supplied.
See Data-driven estimators.
Spectral-Exponent and Timescale Estimators¶
These target spectral slope and an effective exponential ACF timescale. A realisation can carry multiple truths, but only those explicitly declared by its generator: fGn supplies H and β with no finite τ target; fOU supplies driving H and mean-reversion τ, with no β truth. See the estimand tutorial for model restrictions.
| Name | Family | Target estimand | Method |
|---|---|---|---|
PeriodogramBeta |
spectral |
spectral_exponent_beta |
Low-frequency log-periodogram slope, reported as \(\beta\) in \(S(f) \propto f^{-\beta}\); conversion to H requires an appropriate model. |
ACFDecay |
timescale |
timescale_tau |
Log-linear fit of the autocorrelation over its leading exponential band; reports the decay constant τ₀ in samples. Correctly specified for AR(1)/OU-type single-timescale dynamics and deliberately misspecified (window-dependent) under true long-range dependence. |
LRD Discriminators¶
These target the decision estimand lrd_class: each emits a score in [0, 1] (higher = stronger
evidence of true long-range dependence) as a classification score, and is scored by the classification
metrics (roc_auc, balanced_accuracy, true_positive_rate, false_positive_rate) against binary
lrd_class companion truths. These experimental methods compare declared LRD models with short-memory
controls, including multi_timescale signals that mimic scaling. Their scores are not
automatically calibrated probabilities or hypothesis tests; they are outside the
confirmation paper's scope.
| Name | Method |
|---|---|
ThresholdHurstDiscriminator |
Naive baseline: a Hurst estimate (base = dfa/gph/rs) squashed through a logistic centred at h0. |
LowFreqSpectralDiscriminator |
Local-Whittle memory parameter at a shrinking low-frequency band (true LRD keeps d>0 as f→0; a bounded spectrum collapses to d≈0). |
ScaleCrossoverDiscriminator |
Large-scale DFA slope used as an experimental persistence score; finite-sample behavior depends on scale support and the underlying timescales. |
ICModelSelectDiscriminator |
Whittle-BIC model comparison of ARFIMA(0,d,0) against short-memory AR(1)/AR(2); favours LRD when the fractional model wins. |
Interpretation Notes¶
Do not mix hurst_scaling_proxy and long_memory_parameter results in a single accuracy ranking
unless the benchmark protocol explicitly justifies the comparison. For publication-facing analysis,
report estimator name, family, target estimand, parameters, validity rate, and uncertainty support
alongside accuracy or robustness metrics.
For maturity and failure-risk labels, see Estimator status.